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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. New England Revolution opened as the favorite at 1.98 (-102) and drifted to 2.13 (+113). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New England Revolution 48% → 45%, draw 23% → 24%, New York Red Bulls 29% → 30%. The Asian handicap moved from New England Revolution -0.5 to New England Revolution -0.25. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 8 h 15 min before kickoff: New England Revolution went from 49% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
New England Revolution1.98 (-102)2.13 (+113)
Draw4.16 (+316)3.98 (+298)
New York Red Bulls3.27 (+227)3.20 (+220)
Asian handicapNew England Revolution -0.5 · 1.99 (-101)New England Revolution -0.25 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 3.25 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%30%43%56%New England Revolution 45%Draw 24%New York Red Bulls 30%
Asian handicap · New England Revolution
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).