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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

New York City vs Atlanta United — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. New York City opened as the favorite at 1.75 (-133) and drifted to 1.79 (-126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York City 54% → 54%, draw 23% → 24%, Atlanta United 22% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at New York City -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
New York City1.75 (-133)1.79 (-126)
Draw4.04 (+304)3.99 (+299)
Atlanta United4.24 (+324)4.40 (+340)
Asian handicapNew York City -0.75 · 1.97 (-103)New York City -0.75 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 2.75 · over 1.84 (-119)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
16%31%46%62%New York City 54%Draw 24%Atlanta United 22%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).