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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Inter Miami opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-214) and drifted to 1.58 (-172). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Inter Miami 65% → 61%, draw 19% → 20%, FC Cincinnati 17% → 20%. The Asian handicap moved from Inter Miami -1.25 to Inter Miami -1. The total stayed at 4. The sharpest single move came 7 h 30 min before kickoff: Inter Miami went from 65% to 61% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Inter Miami1.47 (-214)1.58 (-172)
Draw5.05 (+405)4.94 (+394)
FC Cincinnati5.66 (+466)4.92 (+392)
Asian handicapInter Miami -1.25 · 1.92 (-109)Inter Miami -1 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 4 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 4 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%30%52%74%Inter Miami 61%Draw 20%FC Cincinnati 20%
Asian handicap · Inter Miami
-1.25-1-1.25 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (4)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).