Toronto FC vs D.C. United — odds movement
Oct 28, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Toronto FC opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and shortened to 1.93 (-108). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toronto FC 49% → 50%, draw 24% → 24%, D.C. United 27% → 25%. The Asian handicap held at Toronto FC -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 37 h 40 min before kickoff: Toronto FC went from 50% to 47% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Toronto FC | 1.93 (-107) | 1.93 (-108) |
| Draw | 3.92 (+292) | 3.96 (+296) |
| D.C. United | 3.57 (+257) | 3.80 (+280) |
| Asian handicap | Toronto FC -0.5 · 1.94 (-106) | Toronto FC -0.5 · 1.93 (-107) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 1.84 (-119) | O/U 3 · over 1.86 (-116) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).