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Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya vs Pakhtakor Tashkent — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 6:15 PM UTC · 95 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 95 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 25 min before kickoff. Pakhtakor Tashkent opened as the favorite at 2.16 (+116) and drifted to 2.20 (+120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 25% → 27%, draw 31% → 30%, Pakhtakor Tashkent 44% → 43%. The Asian handicap held at Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 1 h 30 min before kickoff: Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya went from 25% to 28% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya3.80 (+280)3.59 (+259)
Draw3.08 (+208)3.15 (+215)
Pakhtakor Tashkent2.16 (+116)2.20 (+120)
Asian handicapAl-Quwa Al-Jawiya +0.25 · 2.02 (+102)Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya +0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2.25 · over 1.80 (-125)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%30%40%49%Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 27%Draw 30%Pakhtakor Tashkent 43%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.25 → 2.25

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