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Shabab Al Ahli vs Esteghlal — odds movement

Oct 27, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 86 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 86 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Shabab Al Ahli opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-126) and drifted to 1.93 (-107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Shabab Al Ahli 53% → 49%, draw 29% → 30%, Esteghlal 18% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Shabab Al Ahli -0.75 to Shabab Al Ahli -0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 1 h 15 min before kickoff: Shabab Al Ahli went from 52% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Shabab Al Ahli1.79 (-126)1.93 (-107)
Draw3.25 (+225)3.13 (+213)
Esteghlal5.30 (+430)4.63 (+363)
Asian handicapShabab Al Ahli -0.75 · 2.03 (+103)Shabab Al Ahli -0.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100)O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%27%43%59%Shabab Al Ahli 49%Draw 30%Esteghlal 21%
Asian handicap · Shabab Al Ahli
-0.75-0.5-0.75 → -0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).