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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

Aberdeen vs Falkirk — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:45 PM UK · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Aberdeen opened as the favorite at 2.04 (+104) and shortened to 1.91 (-110). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Aberdeen 47% → 51%, draw 27% → 26%, Falkirk 26% → 23%. The Asian handicap held at Aberdeen -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Aberdeen went from 49% to 51% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Aberdeen2.04 (+104)1.91 (-110)
Draw3.56 (+256)3.68 (+268)
Falkirk3.73 (+273)4.16 (+316)
Asian handicapAberdeen -0.5 · 2.05 (+105)Aberdeen -0.5 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%43%55%Aberdeen 51%Draw 26%Falkirk 23%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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