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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

St Mirren vs Hibernian — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:45 PM UK · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Hibernian opened as the favorite at 2.25 (+125) and shortened to 2.15 (+115). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): St Mirren 31% → 28%, draw 26% → 27%, Hibernian 43% → 45%. The Asian handicap held at St Mirren +0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Hibernian went from 42% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
St Mirren3.14 (+214)3.49 (+249)
Draw3.64 (+264)3.55 (+255)
Hibernian2.25 (+125)2.15 (+115)
Asian handicapSt Mirren +0.25 · 1.93 (-108)St Mirren +0.25 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%31%40%48%St Mirren 28%Draw 27%Hibernian 45%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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