Neftchi Fergona vs Al-Ittihad — odds movement
Oct 26, 2026 · 1:45 PM UTC · 95 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 95 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Al-Ittihad opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-126) and shortened to 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Neftchi Fergona 23% → 24%, draw 24% → 22%, Al-Ittihad 53% → 53%. The Asian handicap held at Neftchi Fergona +0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 4 h 50 min before kickoff: Al-Ittihad went from 53% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Neftchi Fergona | 4.14 (+314) | 3.92 (+292) |
| Draw | 3.92 (+292) | 4.26 (+326) |
| Al-Ittihad | 1.79 (-126) | 1.78 (-129) |
| Asian handicap | Neftchi Fergona +0.75 · 1.83 (-120) | Neftchi Fergona +0.75 · 1.86 (-116) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121) | O/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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