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⚽ Soccer AFC - Champions League Elite Final

Neftchi Fergona vs Al-Ittihad — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 1:45 PM UTC · 95 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 95 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Al-Ittihad opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-126) and shortened to 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Neftchi Fergona 23% → 24%, draw 24% → 22%, Al-Ittihad 53% → 53%. The Asian handicap held at Neftchi Fergona +0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 4 h 50 min before kickoff: Al-Ittihad went from 53% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Neftchi Fergona4.14 (+314)3.92 (+292)
Draw3.92 (+292)4.26 (+326)
Al-Ittihad1.79 (-126)1.78 (-129)
Asian handicapNeftchi Fergona +0.75 · 1.83 (-120)Neftchi Fergona +0.75 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%31%45%59%Neftchi Fergona 24%Draw 22%Al-Ittihad 53%
Asian handicap · Neftchi Fergona
+0.5+0.75+0.75 → +0.75
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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