Scan with your phone camera Al-Ahli vs Al Gharafa — odds movement
Oct 26, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 95 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 95 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Al-Ahli opened as the favorite at 1.28 (-351) and shortened to 1.24 (-416). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Al-Ahli 73% → 76%, draw 16% → 14%, Al Gharafa 11% → 10%. The Asian handicap moved from Al-Ahli -1.75 to Al-Ahli -2. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75. The sharpest single move came 1 h 15 min before kickoff: Al-Ahli went from 74% to 76% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Al-Ahli | 1.28 (-351) | 1.24 (-416) |
| Draw | 5.97 (+497) | 6.62 (+562) |
| Al Gharafa | 8.51 (+751) | 9.49 (+849) |
| Asian handicap | Al-Ahli -1.75 · 1.88 (-114) | Al-Ahli -2 · 1.92 (-109) |
| Total | O/U 3.5 · over 1.86 (-116) | O/U 3.75 · over 1.93 (-108) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).