Oct 24, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Paderborn opened as the favorite at 2.26 (+126) and drifted to 2.44 (+144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Paderborn 43% → 40%, draw 26% → 27%, Hamburger SV 32% → 33%. The Asian handicap held at Paderborn -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 23 hours before kickoff: Paderborn went from 42% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Paderborn
2.26 (+126)
2.44 (+144)
Draw
3.79 (+279)
3.59 (+259)
Hamburger SV
3.05 (+205)
2.95 (+195)
Asian handicap
Paderborn -0.25 · 1.98 (-102)
Paderborn -0.25 · 2.12 (+112)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)
O/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
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