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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Elversberg vs Mainz 05 — odds movement

Oct 30, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Mainz 05 opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and shortened to 2.07 (+107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Elversberg 30% → 28%, draw 25% → 25%, Mainz 05 45% → 47%. The Asian handicap held at Elversberg +0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Elversberg3.17 (+217)3.53 (+253)
Draw3.94 (+294)3.85 (+285)
Mainz 052.15 (+115)2.07 (+107)
Asian handicapElversberg +0.25 · 2.01 (+101)Elversberg +0.25 · 2.13 (+113)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 3 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%31%41%51%Elversberg 28%Draw 25%Mainz 05 47%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).