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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies — odds movement

Oct 29, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · 288 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 288 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 24 h 55 min before tip-off. Portland Trail Blazers opened as the favorite at 1.33 (-305) and drifted to 1.36 (-274). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Portland Trail Blazers 73% → 71%, Memphis Grizzlies 27% → 29%. The spread held at Portland Trail Blazers -7.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 234.5 to 233. The sharpest single move came 21 h 35 min before tip-off: Memphis Grizzlies went from 28% to 29% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Portland Trail Blazers1.33 (-305)1.36 (-274)
Memphis Grizzlies3.54 (+254)3.38 (+238)
spreadPortland Trail Blazers -7.5 · 1.93 (-107)Portland Trail Blazers -7.5 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 234.5 · over 1.98 (-102)O/U 233 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%39%61%82%Portland Trail Blazers 71%Memphis Grizzlies 29%
spread · Portland Trail Blazers
-8-7.5-7-7.5 → -7.5
Total (over/under)
232233233.5234234.5234.5 → 233

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).