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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 249 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 249 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 40 min before tip-off. Houston Rockets opened as the favorite at 1.28 (-357) and drifted to 1.30 (-337). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Milwaukee Bucks 25% → 25%, Houston Rockets 75% → 75%. The spread moved from Milwaukee Bucks +8.5 to Milwaukee Bucks +8. The total moved down from 227.5 to 226.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Milwaukee Bucks3.92 (+292)3.86 (+286)
Houston Rockets1.28 (-357)1.30 (-337)
spreadMilwaukee Bucks +8.5 · 1.95 (-105)Milwaukee Bucks +8 · 2.01 (+101)
TotalO/U 227.5 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 226 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%38%62%85%Milwaukee Bucks 25%Houston Rockets 75%
spread · Milwaukee Bucks
+8+8.5+8.5 → +8
Total (over/under)
225226227.5228.5227.5 → 226

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).