Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat — odds movement
Oct 28, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 239 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 239 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 50 min before tip-off. Atlanta Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-157) and drifted to 1.77 (-130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlanta Hawks 59% → 55%, Miami Heat 41% → 45%. The spread moved from Atlanta Hawks -3.5 to Atlanta Hawks -2. The total moved up from 239.5 to 241.5. The sharpest single move came 14 h 60 min before tip-off: Miami Heat went from 44% to 41% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Atlanta Hawks | 1.64 (-157) | 1.77 (-130) |
| Miami Heat | 2.39 (+139) | 2.18 (+118) |
| spread | Atlanta Hawks -3.5 · 1.94 (-106) | Atlanta Hawks -2 · 1.93 (-107) |
| Total | O/U 239.5 · over 1.89 (-112) | O/U 241.5 · over 1.91 (-110) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).