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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 199 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 199 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 30 min before tip-off. Indiana Pacers opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-181) and drifted to 1.64 (-156). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Milwaukee Bucks 37% → 40%, Indiana Pacers 63% → 60%. The spread moved from Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 to Milwaukee Bucks +4. The total moved down from 240.5 to 239. The sharpest single move came 12 h 20 min before tip-off: Indiana Pacers went from 60% to 62% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Milwaukee Bucks2.59 (+159)2.43 (+143)
Indiana Pacers1.55 (-181)1.64 (-156)
spreadMilwaukee Bucks +4.5 · 1.93 (-108)Milwaukee Bucks +4 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 240.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 239 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
33%44%56%67%Milwaukee Bucks 40%Indiana Pacers 60%
spread · Milwaukee Bucks
+4+4.5+4.5 → +4
Total (over/under)
239240.5240.5 → 239

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).