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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 184 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 184 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 16 h 30 min before tip-off. Cleveland Cavaliers opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-153) and drifted to 1.71 (-141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cleveland Cavaliers 59% → 57%, Minnesota Timberwolves 41% → 43%. The spread moved from Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 to Cleveland Cavaliers -3. The total moved up from 233 to 234. The sharpest single move came 1 h 15 min before tip-off: Cleveland Cavaliers went from 61% to 57% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Cleveland Cavaliers1.65 (-153)1.71 (-141)
Minnesota Timberwolves2.35 (+135)2.30 (+130)
spreadCleveland Cavaliers -3.5 · 1.97 (-103)Cleveland Cavaliers -3 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 233 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 234 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
31%44%56%69%Cleveland Cavaliers 57%Minnesota Timberwolves 43%
spread · Cleveland Cavaliers
-5.5-5-4.5-3.5-3-3.5 → -3
Total (over/under)
232233234233 → 234

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).