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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 248 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 248 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 50 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: Minnesota Timberwolves opened favored at 1.77 (-130), but by the last snapshot Toronto Raptors was the favorite at 1.94 (-106). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota Timberwolves 55% → 50%, Toronto Raptors 45% → 50%. The spread moved from Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 to Minnesota Timberwolves +1. The total moved down from 232.5 to 229.5. The sharpest single move came 20 h 35 min before tip-off: Toronto Raptors went from 47% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Minnesota Timberwolves1.77 (-130)1.98 (-102)
Toronto Raptors2.16 (+116)1.94 (-106)
spreadMinnesota Timberwolves -2.5 · 1.99 (-101)Minnesota Timberwolves +1 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 232.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 229.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
43%48%52%57%Minnesota Timberwolves 50%Toronto Raptors 50%
spread · Minnesota Timberwolves
-2.5-2-1.5-1+1-2.5 → +1
Total (over/under)
229.5230.5231.5232.5232.5 → 229.5

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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).