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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 211 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 211 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 30 min before tip-off. San Antonio Spurs opened as the favorite at 1.20 (-498) and shortened to 1.14 (-737). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dallas Mavericks 20% → 14%, San Antonio Spurs 80% → 86%. The spread moved from Dallas Mavericks +11.5 to Dallas Mavericks +15. The total moved down from 230.5 to 230.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Dallas Mavericks4.87 (+387)6.91 (+591)
San Antonio Spurs1.20 (-498)1.14 (-737)
spreadDallas Mavericks +11.5 · 1.96 (-104)Dallas Mavericks +15 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 230.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 230 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
1%34%66%99%Dallas Mavericks 14%San Antonio Spurs 86%
spread · Dallas Mavericks
+11.5+12+12.5+13+13.5+14+11.5 → +15
Total (over/under)
230230.5231232230.5 → 230

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).