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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 9:10 PM ET · 221 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 221 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 20 min before tip-off. Denver Nuggets opened as the favorite at 1.19 (-518) and drifted to 1.24 (-422). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Denver Nuggets 81% → 79%, New Orleans Pelicans 19% → 21%. The spread moved from Denver Nuggets -11.5 to Denver Nuggets -11. The total moved up from 237.5 to 239.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Denver Nuggets1.19 (-518)1.24 (-422)
New Orleans Pelicans5.00 (+400)4.63 (+363)
spreadDenver Nuggets -11.5 · 1.95 (-105)Denver Nuggets -11 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 237.5 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 239.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
8%36%64%92%Denver Nuggets 79%New Orleans Pelicans 21%
spread · Denver Nuggets
-11.5-11-11.5 → -11
Total (over/under)
237.5238239239.5240.5237.5 → 239.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).