Scan with your phone camera Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder — odds movement
Oct 28, 2026 · 9:40 PM ET · 266 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 266 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 5 min before tip-off. Oklahoma City Thunder opened as the favorite at 1.42 (-237) and drifted to 1.55 (-183). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dallas Mavericks 32% → 37%, Oklahoma City Thunder 68% → 63%. The spread moved from Dallas Mavericks +6 to Dallas Mavericks +5. The total moved down from 229.5 to 228.5. The sharpest single move came 1 h 55 min before tip-off: Dallas Mavericks went from 35% to 38% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Dallas Mavericks | 3.03 (+203) | 2.63 (+163) |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 1.42 (-237) | 1.55 (-183) |
| spread | Dallas Mavericks +6 · 1.95 (-105) | Dallas Mavericks +5 · 1.98 (-102) |
| Total | O/U 229.5 · over 1.92 (-109) | O/U 228.5 · over 2.00 (+100) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).