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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks — odds movement

Oct 23, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 473 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 473 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 40 h 20 min before tip-off. Indiana Pacers opened as the favorite at 1.48 (-209) and shortened to 1.42 (-239). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Indiana Pacers 66% → 69%, Dallas Mavericks 34% → 31%. The spread moved from Indiana Pacers -6 to Indiana Pacers -7. The total moved up from 235 to 240. The sharpest single move came 9 h 50 min before tip-off: Dallas Mavericks went from 33% to 30% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Indiana Pacers1.48 (-209)1.42 (-239)
Dallas Mavericks2.81 (+181)3.15 (+215)
spreadIndiana Pacers -6 · 2.00 (+100)Indiana Pacers -7 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 235 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 240 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%41%59%77%Indiana Pacers 69%Dallas Mavericks 31%
spread · Indiana Pacers
-7.5-7-6-6 → -7
Total (over/under)
235235.5236.5237238239.5235 → 240

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).