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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors — odds movement

Oct 23, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 473 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 473 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 40 h 20 min before tip-off. Toronto Raptors opened as the favorite at 1.59 (-170) and shortened to 1.33 (-303). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Washington Wizards 39% → 27%, Toronto Raptors 61% → 73%. The spread moved from Washington Wizards +4 to Washington Wizards +8.5. The total moved up from 236 to 237. The sharpest single move came 18 h 10 min before tip-off: Washington Wizards went from 33% to 31% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Washington Wizards2.49 (+149)3.68 (+268)
Toronto Raptors1.59 (-170)1.33 (-303)
spreadWashington Wizards +4 · 1.93 (-107)Washington Wizards +8.5 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 236 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 237 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%39%61%83%Washington Wizards 27%Toronto Raptors 73%
spread · Washington Wizards
+4+5+5.5+6.5+7+7.5+4 → +8.5
Total (over/under)
236236.5237237.5236 → 237

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).