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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves — odds movement

Oct 23, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 473 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 473 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 40 h 20 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: Minnesota Timberwolves opened favored at 1.86 (-116), but by the last snapshot Orlando Magic was the favorite at 1.85 (-117). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orlando Magic 48% → 53%, Minnesota Timberwolves 52% → 47%. The spread moved from Orlando Magic +1.5 to Orlando Magic -1. The total moved down from 238 to 234. The sharpest single move came 9 h 20 min before tip-off: Orlando Magic went from 46% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Orlando Magic2.03 (+103)1.85 (-117)
Minnesota Timberwolves1.86 (-116)2.08 (+108)
spreadOrlando Magic +1.5 · 1.95 (-105)Orlando Magic -1 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 238 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 234 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
45%48%52%55%Orlando Magic 53%Minnesota Timberwolves 47%
spread · Orlando Magic
-1+1+1.5+2+1.5 → -1
Total (over/under)
233.5234234.5235235.5237.5238 → 234

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).