Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons — odds movement
Oct 23, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 480 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 480 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 41 h 15 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: Miami Heat opened favored at 1.72 (-138), but by the last snapshot Detroit Pistons was the favorite at 1.83 (-120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Miami Heat 56% → 46%, Detroit Pistons 44% → 54%. The spread moved from Miami Heat -2.5 to Miami Heat +1.5. The total moved down from 236.5 to 235. The sharpest single move came 40 h 5 min before tip-off: Miami Heat went from 56% to 54% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Miami Heat | 1.72 (-138) | 2.11 (+111) |
| Detroit Pistons | 2.22 (+122) | 1.83 (-120) |
| spread | Miami Heat -2.5 · 1.93 (-108) | Miami Heat +1.5 · 2.00 (+100) |
| Total | O/U 236.5 · over 1.93 (-107) | O/U 235 · over 1.93 (-107) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).