Seattle Kraken vs Toronto Maple Leafs — odds movement
Oct 28, 2026 · 10:07 PM ET · 345 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop
How the odds moved
We recorded 345 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 28 h 50 min before puck drop. Toronto Maple Leafs opened as the favorite at 1.87 (-115) and shortened to 1.80 (-125). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Kraken 48% → 46%, Toronto Maple Leafs 52% → 54%. The puck line held at Seattle Kraken +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 30 min before puck drop: Toronto Maple Leafs went from 52% to 56% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Seattle Kraken | 2.02 (+102) | 2.13 (+113) |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.87 (-115) | 1.80 (-125) |
| puck line | Seattle Kraken +1.5 · 1.41 (-245) | Seattle Kraken +1.5 · 1.47 (-211) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 1.85 (-118) | O/U 6.5 · over 1.82 (-122) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).