Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors — odds movement
Oct 26, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · 395 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 395 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 33 h 50 min before tip-off. Denver Nuggets opened as the favorite at 1.49 (-205) and shortened to 1.37 (-267). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Denver Nuggets 64% → 71%, Golden State Warriors 36% → 29%. The spread moved from Denver Nuggets -5 to Denver Nuggets -7. The total moved up from 231.5 to 236.5. The sharpest single move came 32 h 40 min before tip-off: Denver Nuggets went from 67% to 69% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Denver Nuggets | 1.49 (-205) | 1.37 (-267) |
| Golden State Warriors | 2.70 (+170) | 3.32 (+232) |
| spread | Denver Nuggets -5 · 1.93 (-107) | Denver Nuggets -7 · 1.89 (-112) |
| Total | O/U 231.5 · over 1.92 (-109) | O/U 236.5 · over 1.96 (-104) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).