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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 199 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 199 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 30 min before tip-off. Oklahoma City Thunder opened as the favorite at 1.27 (-366) and drifted to 1.31 (-318). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Oklahoma City Thunder 76% → 74%, Phoenix Suns 24% → 26%. The spread moved from Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 to Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5. The total moved up from 219.5 to 221.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 45 min before tip-off: Oklahoma City Thunder went from 78% to 74% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Oklahoma City Thunder1.27 (-366)1.31 (-318)
Phoenix Suns3.98 (+298)3.80 (+280)
spreadOklahoma City Thunder -9.5 · 1.96 (-104)Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 219.5 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 221.5 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%37%63%89%Oklahoma City Thunder 74%Phoenix Suns 26%
spread · Oklahoma City Thunder
-10-9.5-9-8.5-9.5 → -8.5
Total (over/under)
218.5219.5221.5219.5 → 221.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).