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Cayirova Belediyesi vs Bursaspor — odds movement

Oct 23, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 137 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 137 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 11 h 60 min before tip-off. Cayirova Belediyesi opened as the favorite at 1.81 (-124) and shortened to 1.63 (-160). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cayirova Belediyesi 51% → 56%, Bursaspor 49% → 44%. The spread moved from Cayirova Belediyesi +1 to Cayirova Belediyesi -2.5. The total stayed at 169.5. The sharpest single move came 9 h 60 min before tip-off: Bursaspor went from 49% to 47% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Cayirova Belediyesi1.81 (-124)1.63 (-160)
Bursaspor1.86 (-116)2.09 (+109)
spreadCayirova Belediyesi +1 · 1.77 (-130)Cayirova Belediyesi -2.5 · 1.83 (-121)
TotalO/U 169.5 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 169.5 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
41%47%53%59%Cayirova Belediyesi 56%Bursaspor 44%
spread · Cayirova Belediyesi
-2.5-1.5+1+1 → -2.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (169.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).