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Tofas SK vs Petkim Spor Aliaga — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 3:00 PM UTC · 140 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 140 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 11 h 55 min before tip-off. Tofas SK opened as the favorite at 1.76 (-131) and shortened to 1.36 (-277). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tofas SK 52% → 67%, Petkim Spor Aliaga 48% → 33%. The spread moved from Tofas SK -1.5 to Tofas SK -5.5. The total stayed at 168.5. The sharpest single move came 4 h 50 min before tip-off: Tofas SK went from 56% to 63% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Tofas SK1.76 (-131)1.36 (-277)
Petkim Spor Aliaga1.91 (-110)2.71 (+171)
spreadTofas SK -1.5 · 1.81 (-124)Tofas SK -5.5 · 1.81 (-123)
TotalO/U 168.5 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 168.5 · over 1.79 (-126)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
27%42%58%73%Tofas SK 67%Petkim Spor Aliaga 33%
spread · Tofas SK
-5.5-5-4.5-4-2.5-1.5-1.5 → -5.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (168.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).