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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 323 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 323 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 27 h 60 min before puck drop. Edmonton Oilers opened as the favorite at 1.57 (-175) and drifted to 1.69 (-144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Edmonton Oilers 62% → 58%, Toronto Maple Leafs 38% → 42%. The puck line held at Edmonton Oilers -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 7. The sharpest single move came 1 h 50 min before puck drop: Edmonton Oilers went from 61% to 58% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Edmonton Oilers1.57 (-175)1.69 (-144)
Toronto Maple Leafs2.54 (+154)2.30 (+130)
puck lineEdmonton Oilers -1.5 · 2.35 (+135)Edmonton Oilers -1.5 · 2.53 (+153)
TotalO/U 7 · over 2.15 (+115)O/U 7 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
34%45%55%66%Edmonton Oilers 58%Toronto Maple Leafs 42%
puck line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (7)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).