✓ SharpPickSPORTS PICKS · ODDS ALERTS Premium Get the app 한국어
SharpPick app — top picks and a graded pick for every game New accounts get a 1-day free trial in the app.
QR code — opens SharpPick on Google Play Scan with your phone camera
⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Club Leon vs Deportivo Toluca — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Deportivo Toluca opened as the favorite at 2.06 (+106) and shortened to 1.87 (-115). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Club Leon 26% → 23%, draw 28% → 25%, Deportivo Toluca 46% → 52%. The Asian handicap held at Club Leon +0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before kickoff: Deportivo Toluca went from 50% to 52% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Club Leon3.64 (+264)4.21 (+321)
Draw3.43 (+243)3.80 (+280)
Deportivo Toluca2.06 (+106)1.87 (-115)
Asian handicapClub Leon +0.5 · 1.80 (-125)Club Leon +0.5 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.88 (-114)O/U 3.25 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%44%58%Club Leon 23%Draw 25%Deportivo Toluca 52%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.5)
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

Get the alert while the line is moving

The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.

Get the app

Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).