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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Necaxa vs FC Juarez — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 494 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 494 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Necaxa opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-139) and drifted to 1.74 (-136). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Necaxa 55% → 56%, draw 23% → 24%, FC Juarez 22% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Necaxa -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Necaxa1.72 (-139)1.74 (-136)
Draw4.07 (+307)4.06 (+306)
FC Juarez4.40 (+340)4.67 (+367)
Asian handicapNecaxa -0.75 · 1.93 (-107)Necaxa -0.75 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.00 (+100)O/U 2.75 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%30%46%63%Necaxa 56%Draw 24%FC Juarez 21%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).