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⚽ Soccer CONMEBOL - Copa Libertadores Final

Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata — odds movement

Oct 23, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 257 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 257 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 55 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 1.38 (-263) and drifted to 1.51 (-196). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Flamengo 69% → 63%, draw 21% → 24%, Estudiantes de La Plata 10% → 12%. The Asian handicap moved from Flamengo -1.25 to Flamengo -1. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 3 h 25 min before kickoff: Flamengo went from 68% to 66% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
Flamengo	1.38 (-263)	1.51 (-196)
Draw	4.59 (+359)	3.97 (+297)
Estudiantes de La Plata	9.19 (+819)	7.66 (+666)
Asian handicap	Flamengo -1.25 · 1.93 (-107)	Flamengo -1 · 1.95 (-105)
Total	O/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-118)	O/U 2.25 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

Asian handicap · Flamengo

Total (over/under)

Move timeline · UTC

21:42 Flamengo moneyline 1.50 → 1.51
21:27 Flamengo moneyline 1.45 → 1.50
21:07 Flamengo moneyline 1.40 → 1.45
21:07 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.25 → -1
20:52 Flamengo moneyline 1.39 → 1.40
20:37 Flamengo moneyline 1.37 → 1.39
19:52 Flamengo moneyline 1.32 → 1.36
19:37 Flamengo moneyline 1.30 → 1.32
19:37 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.5 → -1.25
18:52 Flamengo moneyline 1.27 → 1.31
17:17 Total 2.5 → 2.25
16:02 Flamengo moneyline 1.28 → 1.26
14:12 Flamengo moneyline 1.25 → 1.28
14:12 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.75 → -1.5
13:57 Flamengo moneyline 1.27 → 1.25
13:57 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.5 → -1.75
13:42 Flamengo moneyline 1.25 → 1.27
13:42 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.75 → -1.5
13:27 Flamengo moneyline 1.27 → 1.25
13:27 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.5 → -1.75
12:57 Flamengo moneyline 1.26 → 1.27
11:57 Flamengo moneyline 1.27 → 1.26
10:37 Flamengo moneyline 1.28 → 1.27
10:22 Flamengo moneyline 1.30 → 1.28
10:07 Flamengo moneyline 1.31 → 1.30
09:37 Flamengo moneyline 1.34 → 1.31
08:17 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.25 → -1.5
08:02 Flamengo moneyline 1.35 → 1.34
08:02 Total 2.25 → 2.5
07:47 Flamengo moneyline 1.36 → 1.35
07:02 Flamengo moneyline 1.34 → 1.36
07:02 Total 2.5 → 2.25
06:17 Flamengo moneyline 1.33 → 1.34
06:17 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.5 → -1.25
06:02 Flamengo moneyline 1.35 → 1.33
06:02 Total 2.25 → 2.5
06:02 Asian handicap (Flamengo) -1.25 → -1.5
05:47 Flamengo moneyline 1.38 → 1.35
04:27 Flamengo moneyline 1.39 → 1.38
04:12 Flamengo moneyline 1.38 → 1.39

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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More CONMEBOL - Copa Libertadores odds

Oct 22Palmeiras vs Fluminense
Oct 16Estudiantes de La Plata vs Flamengo
Oct 15Fluminense vs Palmeiras
Sep 18Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle
Sep 17Corinthians vs Estudiantes de La Plata
Sep 10Estudiantes de La Plata vs Corinthians
Sep 8Fluminense vs Platense

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