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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and drifted to 1.74 (-136). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Valkyries 58% → 55%, Atlanta Dream 42% → 45%. The spread moved from Golden State Valkyries -3 to Golden State Valkyries -2.5. The total stayed at 153.5. The sharpest single move came 8 h 15 min before tip-off: Golden State Valkyries went from 52% to 56% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Golden State Valkyries1.64 (-156)1.74 (-136)
Atlanta Dream2.28 (+128)2.10 (+110)
spreadGolden State Valkyries -3 · 1.93 (-108)Golden State Valkyries -2.5 · 1.98 (-102)
TotalO/U 153.5 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 153.5 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
38%46%54%62%Golden State Valkyries 55%Atlanta Dream 45%
spread · Golden State Valkyries
-3-2.5-2-1.5-1-3 → -2.5
Total (over/under)
153.5154.5153.5 → 153.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).