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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vancouver Canucks — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 4:07 PM ET · 325 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 325 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 27 h 10 min before puck drop. Tampa Bay Lightning opened as the favorite at 1.27 (-365) and drifted to 1.28 (-363). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tampa Bay Lightning 76% → 76%, Vancouver Canucks 24% → 24%. The puck line moved from Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 to Tampa Bay Lightning -2.5. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 30 min before puck drop: Vancouver Canucks went from 22% to 23% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Tampa Bay Lightning1.27 (-365)1.28 (-363)
Vancouver Canucks4.02 (+302)4.09 (+309)
puck lineTampa Bay Lightning -1.5 · 1.75 (-134)Tampa Bay Lightning -2.5 · 2.13 (+113)
TotalO/U 6.5 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 6.5 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%37%63%89%Tampa Bay Lightning 76%Vancouver Canucks 24%
puck line · Tampa Bay Lightning
-2.5-1.5-1.5 → -2.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (6.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).