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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets — odds movement

Oct 30, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 250 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 250 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 60 min before tip-off. Houston Rockets opened as the favorite at 1.44 (-229) and drifted to 1.51 (-195). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dallas Mavericks 33% → 35%, Houston Rockets 67% → 65%. The spread moved from Dallas Mavericks +6 to Dallas Mavericks +5.5. The total moved down from 227 to 224. The sharpest single move came 1 h 35 min before tip-off: Dallas Mavericks went from 33% to 36% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Dallas Mavericks2.97 (+197)2.78 (+178)
Houston Rockets1.44 (-229)1.51 (-195)
spreadDallas Mavericks +6 · 1.93 (-108)Dallas Mavericks +5.5 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 227 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 224 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%41%59%76%Dallas Mavericks 35%Houston Rockets 65%
spread · Dallas Mavericks
+5.5+6+6.5+7+6 → +5.5
Total (over/under)
224224.5225225.5226227227 → 224

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).