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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets — odds movement

Oct 23, 2026 · 9:40 PM ET · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 50 min before tip-off. San Antonio Spurs opened as the favorite at 1.37 (-267) and drifted to 1.53 (-187). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): San Antonio Spurs 70% → 64%, Houston Rockets 30% → 36%. The spread moved from San Antonio Spurs -7 to San Antonio Spurs -5. The total moved down from 226 to 224.5. The sharpest single move came 34 h 60 min before tip-off: San Antonio Spurs went from 69% to 67% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
San Antonio Spurs1.37 (-267)1.53 (-187)
Houston Rockets3.26 (+226)2.70 (+170)
spreadSan Antonio Spurs -7 · 1.89 (-112)San Antonio Spurs -5 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 226 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 224.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%41%59%78%San Antonio Spurs 64%Houston Rockets 36%
spread · San Antonio Spurs
-7-6.5-6-5.5-5-7 → -5
Total (over/under)
224.5225225.5226226.5227.5226 → 224.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).