Sep 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM UK · 240 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 240 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 27 h 55 min before kickoff. Middlesbrough opened as the favorite at 2.42 (+142) and shortened to 2.31 (+131). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Burnley 34% → 32%, draw 26% → 26%, Middlesbrough 39% → 42%. The Asian handicap moved from Burnley 0 to Burnley +0.25. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Burnley
2.77 (+177)
3.02 (+202)
Draw
3.62 (+262)
3.70 (+270)
Middlesbrough
2.42 (+142)
2.31 (+131)
Asian handicap
Burnley 0 · 2.08 (+108)
Burnley +0.25 · 1.89 (-113)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)
O/U 3 · over 2.03 (+103)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Burnley
Total (over/under)
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